Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000124 0.000136 0.000149 0.000164 0.000181 0.000199 0.000220
2025-11-23 0.000098 0.000115 0.000135 0.000160 0.000191 0.000226 0.000272
2025-11-30 0.000084 0.000105 0.000130 0.000163 0.000205 0.000259 0.000332
2025-12-07 0.000076 0.000098 0.000127 0.000166 0.000220 0.000291 0.000395
2025-12-14 0.000067 0.000089 0.000119 0.000163 0.000224 0.000310 0.000441
2025-12-21 0.000059 0.000081 0.000111 0.000157 0.000224 0.000321 0.000476
2025-12-28 0.000054 0.000077 0.000109 0.000157 0.000233 0.000346 0.000535
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000073 0.000106 0.000159 0.000242 0.000372 0.000598
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000069 0.000102 0.000156 0.000245 0.000389 0.000648
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000066 0.000100 0.000157 0.000253 0.000413 0.000713
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000062 0.000096 0.000155 0.000256 0.000429 0.000765
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000060 0.000094 0.000155 0.000262 0.000452 0.000833
2026-02-08 0.000036 0.000057 0.000091 0.000153 0.000265 0.000470 0.000896
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000053 0.000087 0.000149 0.000265 0.000482 0.000949
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000052 0.000086 0.000151 0.000275 0.000517 0.001055
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000051 0.000086 0.000154 0.000288 0.000557 0.001179
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000151 0.000289 0.000573 0.001249
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000045 0.000078 0.000145 0.000284 0.000575 0.001291
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000043 0.000077 0.000146 0.000292 0.000607 0.001406
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000042 0.000076 0.000147 0.000301 0.000641 0.001536
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000145 0.000302 0.000660 0.001626
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000039 0.000073 0.000146 0.000310 0.000693 0.001761
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000144 0.000311 0.000710 0.001858